Ozgur Eksi
The results of the presidential elections held in Taiwan favour improving relations with the USA as the Democratic Progressive Party (DDP) won. This means China's possibility of developing relations with Taiwan without using weapons is in vain. Will the invasion of Russia, which has not stood by and watched Ukraine develop relations with the USA since 2014, set an example for China? Will China, seeing the opportunity that the USA is already preoccupied with Ukraine and Israel, invade Taiwan?
The U.S. aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson (CVN-70) carrier strike group is in the South China Sea. The U.S. also has the USS Ronald Reagan (CVN-76) carrier strike group deployed near Japan's Yokosuka. The America Amphibious Ready Group (ARG) is in Sasebo, Japan.
On Thursday, the U.S. Embassy in Manila said that the U.S. sent fuel from one of its naval stations in Hawaii to a facility inside a former U.S. base in the Philippines in collaboration with the government.
Military analysis predicts that China will attack Taiwan in April or May. This is a predicted situation, just like Russia's attack on Ukraine, and this time, China, unlike Russia, does not deny it.
In this case, the Western world can be expected to impose an embargo on China. On the other hand, if China invades Taiwan, something else will happen. Taiwan is the world's largest chip producer. Chip shipments will stop. A crisis that is bigger and longer lasting than the one experienced during COVID-19 will inevitably affect the world economy.
If China attacks Taiwan, the United States may not go to war with China militarily as the use of nuclear weapons might surface between China and the USA. But a war based on chips would damage the economy more than a nuclear bomb, and the U.S. cannot escape from this war.
